By Josh Powell | Confederations Cup betting
If you’re backing the top goalscorer at this year’s Confederations Cup, you’ll find it throws up more questions than you’re average episode of ’24′.
- Do you back a Brazilian? They are the favourites and are likely to get the most playing time, plus a Brazilian has won four of the eight Golden Shoes at this competition.
- Do you back David Villa? He’s the favourite for the award and as Spain’s record goalscorer is no stranger to putting the ball in the back of the net.
- But then what about a Uruguayan? They get to play Tahiti and that game alone could end up having six or seven goals in it.
One option is to throw all the names into a hat and pick one out completely at random, or you could listen to tipping advice from Paul Merson. Both methods are dubious and more likely than not, will be leading you towards an embarrassing punt on a Japanese midfielder.
Instead you could follow the money. The Paddy Power Blog Team have dived into Paddy’s book and have got the five players that punters have been piling into pre-tournament. If everyone is doing it, it must be cool right? (Bar Ketamine, that was never really cool)
1. Luis Suarez 7/1
The striker hasn’t shown any rustiness after his ban for having a nibble on Branislav Ivanovic, bagging the only goal of the game against France earlier this month. Suarez has expressed his desire to leave Liverpool and the Confederations Cup is a nice display window to attract a few potential buyers. The frontman averages exactly a goal every two games for Uruguay with 32 in 64 appearances and with a group game against whipping boys Tahiti on the agenda it is no surprise that he is the best backed in the book.
2. Fred 14/1
Fred had struggled to assert himself as a Brazilian regular up until the return of gaffer Luiz Felipe Scolari. Since then he can’t stop scoring. His record says he has 11 goals in 24 international appearances, but more tellingly he has scored in five of Brazil’s last six games and is the form man coming in to the tournament. Brazil are the favourites and that would give Fred five matches to rack up a few goals at a good price.
3. Edinson Cavani 12/1
You get the feeling the ‘Tahiti effect’ is having another impact on the market here. Edinson Cavani banged in 29 goals in 34 games for Napoli this year and consequently got linked with every big club in Europe with various over-inflated prices spewed out in the papers. At international level though he is hardly prolific, with just 14 in 50 games and just four goals since the start of 2012. He shows no mercy when it comes to battering the minnows though after netting a hat-trick against Indonesia, so expect him to have his sights on Tahiti.
4. David Villa 6/1
Not including David Villa here would be as pointless as getting into a relationship Taylor Swift. Punters have been ploughing into the tournament favourite and why not? He’s Spain’s all-time record scorer and has a staggering tally of 53 goals in 88 games. Since the turn of the year he has played five games for Spain and not scored so the law of averages say he is probably due a few and that isn’t good news for Paddy Power’s accountant.
5. Fernando Torres 14/1
He is the butt of plenty of jokes courtesy of @paddypower and despite a decent season at Chelsea – he scored 22 in 64 games – Torres is the go to guy if you want a laugh about a high-profile serial chance waster. Despite having a good old chuckle at his expense punters haven’t been shy in backing Torres hence why he makes the list. El Nino’s record at international level is near enough a goal every three games which isn’t too shabby. Worryingly for backers he is on a seven game drought that includes matches against teams such as Puerto Rico, Saudi Arabia, Haiti and Ireland!