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International football wacky acca: A cheeky midweek punt at massive odds

Our attempt to turn £1 into more than £10.5k on Wednesday's International football fixtures

by Josh Powell | March 4, 2014

It’s International week and it would be rude of the Blog team not to rustle up a crazy accumulator in an attempt to make a fortune of a tiny stake. Particularly when the boss is insistent that we still run our accumulator bonuses on the International games.

If you never have a dream, you’ll never have a dream come true. And with that sound advice ringing clearly in our ears we attempted to turn £1 into a whopping £10,507 with a 6566/1 accumulator on tonight’s games. Paddy’s 60 per cent bonus on 10-folds, topping us up to a small fortune.

Unfortunately the lads in the Risk department got a little jittery so anybody who didn’t see the acca before Wednesday lunchtime is stuck with our 545/1 shot. Less ‘wacky’ more ‘fairly sensible’. You still get a 40 per cent bonus with an eight-fold so your £1 will return a nice little £764. We’ve bought the lads in Risk a Curly-Wurly and a can of Lilt as a way of apologising for their soiled chinos.

NB* Obviously there’s nothing stopping you adding in Croatia to beat Switzerland and Spain and France to draw but we didn’t tell you that. Definitely not us. No siree.

Here is our sensible acca on Wednesday’s international games…

PP-Blog-wacky-acca-TRADER-EDIT

If you prefer to read the reasons why we’ve plumped for the eight (or 10) results, the team’s head-to-head records, form in March friendlies in the last decade and recent results are below. If it clicks don’t expect any fresh content on here for the rest of the week.

Wales v Iceland – Wales to win 11/10

  • Wales have the edge in the head-to-head with Iceland, winning four of the six meetings with Iceland. They have never been beaten by Iceland on home soil
  • In the last decade Iceland have played eight March friendlies, winning just three – and two of those were against Faroe Islands. Wales have played just two March friendlies losing 1-0 to Sweden in 2010 and beating Luxembourg 2-0 six years ago
  • Iceland haven’t scored in three games and have won just one friendly on the road since 2008. Wales, on the other hand, are unbeaten in three games

Portugal v Cameroon – Portugal to win 1/3

  • These sides have played each other just once before, in June 2010 when Portugal ran out comfortable 3-1 winners
  • Cameroon’s one March friendly in the last ten years was a 0-0 draw with Italy in 2010. Portugal have a 63 per cent win rate in March friendlies since 2004 and have won three of their last four by a 2-0 scoreline
  • Portugal have lost just one of their last ten games – to Brazil – whereas Cameroon haven’t won in six away friendlies, and didn’t score in any of them

Ronaldo

Ireland v Serbia – Draw 21/10

  • Ireland have met Serbia twice before and on both occasions there was nothing to separate the sides
  • The Boys In Green have a mixed record in March friendlies since 2004, winning three, but losing their most recent two matches to Brazil and Uruguay. Serbia have a similar dubious record with a win and a loss to their name
  • Both sides have a bit of form to their names – Ireland haven’t lost in three while Serbia are on a five-game unbeaten run as well

England v Denmark – England to win 4/6

  • England dominate the head-to-head in this one with 11 wins and four draws from 18 matches
  • England have a solid enough record in March friendlies since 2004, but nothing spectacular. Losses against France and Sweden were followed by wins against Slovakia and Egypt before 2011′s draw with Ghana. Denmark have a 50 per cent strike rate in that time and can boast of a 1-0 win over Germany in 2007
  • Denmark are on a five game unbeaten streak whereas England are looking to bounce back from demoralising defeats to Chile and Germany

Baines on England duty

Germany v Chile – Germany to win 4/9

  • These teams have never played each other. Yabadabadoo.
  • Germany have a 57 per cent strike rate in the last decade of March friendlies however lost their last one in 2011 to Australia. Chile have won just two of their seven March friendlies in the same time, but are unbeaten in the last four
  • They are two bang in-form sides. Germany have lost just one of the last 17 games, and Chile aren’t far behind with just one defeat in the last 12.

France v Holland – Holland to win 11/5

  • Holland just about edge the head-to-heads with 10 victories to France’s eight. The sides have four draws to boot.
  • France have just a 20 per cent win rate in March friendlies since 2004 compared to Holland’s 67 per cent. The Dutch have won two and drawn once in that time, whereas France have won just one of five games. The teams drew 0-0 in a March friendly in 2004
  • The Dutch are on an incredible 17 game unbeaten run that stretches back to August 2012. France aren’t in bad form themselves, winning four of the last five

Robben beats Casillas

  • Get the latest odds on Wednesday’s International games here:
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Belgium v Ivory Coast – Draw 13/5

  • Another match where the two sides have never previously met
  • Both sides have a woeful record in March friendlies since 2004, posting the same tally of one win and three loses. Belgium’s only win came against Luxembourg in 2006 while Ivory Coast thumped Mauritius 3-0 in 2007
  • Belgium were unbeaten in nine games until recent defeats to Columbia and Japan, while Ivory Coast are unbeaten in three matches after a 4-1 hammering by Mexico

Spain v Italy – Draw 3/1

  • Another tight contest according to the head-to-heads with the sides playing out seven draws in 14 meetings. Spain have three wins to Italy’s four
  • Spain are the only side in this acca with a 100 per cent record in the last ten years of March friendlies. They’ve played five, won five including a 2-0 win over Italy in 2008. That’s the Italians only loss in seven March friendlies – they’ve won three and drawn three of the others
  • Spain are coming off the back of a narrow 1-0 defeat to South Africa, but before that had lost just once in 33 games. Italy are on a six game unbeaten spin – in which they’ve drawn four – after a 2-1 defeat to Argentina

Torres and Silva celebrate

Switzerland v Croatia – Croatia to win 21/10

  • The sides can’t be separated in the head-to-head with both sides notching two wins a piece and playing out one draw
  • Switzerland’s March friendly form in the last decade is desperate, with just one win and four losses in five games. The only victory was a 2-0 win against Jamaica in 2007. Croatia, on the other hand, are unbeaten in that time with two wins and three draws including against France, Belgium and Argentina
  • Korea’s 2-1 victory over Switzerland was the first time the Swiss had lost in 17 games. Croatia have lost just three friendlies in the last six years and will be keen to gain some revenge after a 4-2 defeat to Switzerland in 2012

Poland v Scotland – Poland to win 6/5

  • Scotland are struggling in a head-to-head with Poland, winning just one of their seven previous meetings. The Poles have three wins to their name and the sides have shared the spoils on three occasions
  • Neither side has a particularly impressive record in March friendlies, with Poland winning just two of seven matches since 2004, and Scotland winning just one of four. In 2011 Poland drew 0-0 with Greece and lost 2-0 to Lithuania while Scotland suffered a 2-0 loss to Brazil
  • Both sides are in decent nick. Scotland and Poland have both kept three clean sheets on the bounce and have two wins and a draw in that time
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